RunSwitch, Harper Polling Releases Kentucky Politics and Issues Survey


Louisville, Kentucky (PRWEB) February 17, 2013

http://www.runswitchpr.com RunSwitch Public Relations, in conjunction with Harper Polling, conducted a survey on February 11-12 that tested several political and policy issues recently in the news and important to Kentucky voters. The survey asked questions of 850 likely Kentucky voters and had a margin of error of +/- 3.36%. The poll found Mitch McConnell leading Ashley Judd in a Senate matchup 49% to 40%.

My takeaways from the survey are that Senator McConnell is in solid-shape among Republicans and general election voters, and that Ashley Judd, for someone who has never run for office, already has a tough hole out of which to climb regarding her own image, said Scott Jennings, RunSwitch founding partner and former Deputy White House Political Director under President George W. Bush.

The survey found that 60% of Republican likely voters say McConnell deserves re-election, versus just 23% who say it is time to give someone else a chance. Inside the Republican voter sample, McConnell was in strong position among Seniors (70%), Very Conservative voters (65%), Somewhat Conservative voters (67%).

Theyve covered their flank against those most likely to turnout in a GOP primary. Its hard to imagine anyone popping up in a primary who could give McConnell trouble, particularly when you consider he has been endorsed by Senator Rand Paul, Jennings said.

Speaking of Kentuckys junior Senator and potential 2016 presidential candidate, he was viewed favorably by 46% of voters and unfavorably by 42%.

In this political climate if you are a congressional incumbent and your image isnt underwater you have reason to be happy, Jennings said.

In a general election matchup, any Democrat has a significant headwind on the generic ballot. Just 37% of voters prefer a generic Democrat to 47% who prefer a generic Republican.

This is the trend in Kentucky, where Republicans are gaining more and more ground in federal races, Jennings said, noting that the state lost one of its two Democrat members of Congress in November and that President Obama received just 38% of the vote in November.

In the hypothetical head-to-head test, Senator McConnell led Judd 49% to 40%. Judds image in the survey (35% favorable to 45% unfavorable) presents a tough problem for the actress.

This tells me that people know more about Ashley Judds politics than they would of your typical first timer, Jennings said. And in this case her politics are so closely aligned with President Obamas that it is causing her problems, Jennings said.

Inside the numbers, Judd actually ties McConnell among women (44% to 44%) but loses handily among men (54% to 36%). Additionally, 28% of Democrats said they plan to vote for McConnell.

This is problematic for Judd but not surprising since so many Democrats did not vote for Obama in the primary and general elections in 2012 and 2008, Jennings said. Simply put, being aligned with Obama in Kentucky is just a millstone around a candidates neck.

Also in the news recently was a much publicized web video promoted by the conservative Super PAC American Crossroads. The web video primarily attacked Judd for calling Tennessee home and for supporting President Obamas agenda.

We found that both attacks Crossroads leveled against Judd were effective, Jennings said, particularly the alignment with Obama and Judd calling herself a radical.

On the issue of not living in the state, 40% of voters said they would be less likely to vote for Judd because of it, including 28% who said much less likely. As for Judds description of herself as radical and her support for President Obama, 48% said they would be less likely to vote for her including 40% who said much less likely.

These message tests are important because they arent one candidate alleging something of another, but rather messages derived directly from actual video of a prospective candidate, Jennings said. Attacks are much more potent if they flow from a candidates own words.

The survey tested two federal issues that have been in the news lately the recent fiscal cliff deal and gun control.

A slight plurality of Kentuckians did not approve of the fiscal cliff vote, and an overwhelming majority of Kentuckians want Congress to focus on the mental health aspect of the gun debate versus simply banning semi-automatic rifles, Jennings said.

On the fiscal cliff, 48% said the deal was bad because it did not contain spending cuts, with Republicans much more likely to disapprove of the deal. On gun control, 69% said keeping guns out of the hands of people with mental illness would be more effective at stopping shootings like the Newtown, Connecticut incident versus 24% who said banning semi-automatic weapons would be more effective.

Jennings said RunSwitch and Harper will release more results tomorrow that deal with some Kentucky government issues that have been in the news lately.

We enjoy the chance to illuminate the political and public policy debates occurring in Kentucky and hope to continue to release polling on a semi-regular basis that sheds light on how issues are playing out in the public realm, Jennings said.

The survey was not conducted for or in conjunction with any candidate or political organization engaged in the Kentucky U.S. Senate race.

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RunSwitch Public Relations is one of the largest public relations and public affairs firms in the region offering experienced counsel to organizations across the U.S. and around the world. RunSwitch is on the web at http://www.RunSwitchPR.com. Harper Polling was founded by experienced pollster Brock McLeary, who brings more than a decade of experience formulating polling and analyzing data as a political operative, public affairs consultant, press secretary, ad maker, and party strategist. Harper is found at http://www.HarperPolling.com.

To see the polling memo from Brock McLeary click here: http://www.runswitchpr.com/newsite/wp-content/uploads/2013/02/FINAL-RunSwitch-Harper-February-13-Polling-Memo-1.pdf

To see the toplines of these questions click here: http://www.runswitchpr.com/newsite/wp-content/uploads/2013/02/KY-Statewide-Toplines-Senate-Federal.pdf

To interview Scott Jennings about the survey, please e-mail Kaylee Carnahan at Kaylee@RunSwitchPR.com







Big Game Gear Debates Gun Control Issues Following Sandy Hook Tragedy


(PRWEB) December 21, 2012

Being a week out from the devastating tragedy in Connecticut, Big Game Gear along with America debates gun control issues and the reduction of gun violence. The 2nd Amendment as it currently stands, states that we have the right to bear arms. One may say we are not attacked by enemies in the US, as other nations are, due to Americans having the right to own and (with proper licensing) carry a firearm. But Big Game Gear asks, “What about the violent attacks on our own US grounds from people within?” The mass shooting at Sandy Hook Elementary sparks an immediate concern and forces the debate over gun control. Big Game Gear asks, “Do you believe guns are the problem or are underlying emotions people have triggering bigger issues?”

Big Game Gear is asking the hard questions and looking at both angles of gun control. One may have the opinion that guns kill people and if gun ownership is revoked then mass shootings would not occur. A Big Game Gear Consumer said, “Catastrophic events like the Connecticut shooting typically lead to reinforcing this ideology as an immediate fix. A more conservative approach is that guns do not kill people, people kill people. Our Nation has laws and processes to filter out felons, illegals, set age restrictions and so on, but at the end of the day, we can never be 100% sure that all gun owners should have possession of a firearm. Unfortunately we are unable to read the minds of others and know at all times what someone is mentally contemplating rather they are the owner of the firearm or just in the immediate presence of someone who is a firearm owner.”

“Automobiles do not cause accidents, people driving them do. That is why we are taught driver safety and mandated to take courses. This is to try and prevent accidents from occurring in the first place, says gun safety advocate Ryan Andrews. A major factor in gun control is gun safety.

Big Game Gear educates gun safety and reinforces gun safety rules on their website. They advocate the highest standards of safety for the use and handling of firearms.

The reality that is seldom reflected upon in our media or social circles today includes the ongoing breakdown of core values and the mentally ill among mankind. More needs to be done legislatively to help those with mental issues. Mothers and fathers should not have to wait for their mentally unfit children to create a crime until law enforcement steps in, said a BGG consumer. Society has to look at the continual breakdown of core values. Free should never mean it is ones right. God is being taken out of everything and yet is blamed for not being there when we need Him most. Violence surrounds us on most television networks, violent video games and evening news broadcasts every day. This does impact society. There is no fear today for consequences.

As seen in Columbine, Sandy Hook Elementary, and Virginia Tech – mental illness combined with accessible firearms can be a very hazardous situation. Ronald Ray says, Should Americans risk losing the right to bear arms in order to protect their own family or self because of one persons actions? Or is legislation going to take a look at the more difficult subjects of encouraging family values, responsibility, and the recognition and treatment of mental health issues? When used properly in situations such as hunting, personal protection and military use, firearms are necessary.

Big Game Gear is an easy-to-use yet comprehensive site that puts it all in one place – products at great prices, information and outdoor education, giving back to organizations, amazing deals, and an experience shopping for the great outdoors.

READY-AIM-SHOP at http://www.BigGameGear.com TODAY!